Sunday, September 16, 2012

Wary but Not Unwilling

ISRAELI PRIME MINISTER BENJAMIN NETANYAHU (nut and yaihoo?), a long time hawkish individual, is urging stronger action against iran due to iran's apparent continuing development of nuclear weapons. The united nations, which has very limited influence largely because russia, china, and the united states refuse to cooperate with it when they disagree with it, has told iran to cease and desist.

It is unkown for sure whether iran is in fact making weapons. The united states, like israel, thinks it is, but unlike israel, wishes to continue with only diplomatic and economic sanctions, hoping the pressure, which is considerable, will force the iranians to comply with the U. N.

The israelis want to attack, now, and probably would, with U.S. approval. Mr netanyahu is annoyed with america. meanwhile, the american navy is currently conducting the largest military "exercise" it ever has in the area, congregating dozens of warships near iran, promising to respond if the iranisas try to cut off oil flowing from the middle east.

The iranians have tried to cut off the flow of oil out of the middle east before, especially during their eight year war with iraq in the nineteen eighties, by trying to block the gulf of hormuz, but it has never worked; the gulf is too wide, and the iranian navy too small.

So, israel wants the american navy to attack iran, but obama and his advisors are , for the moment, content to merely let the american armada flex its muscles right outside iran's backyard.

What makes you nervous is the thought that if obama gets into trouble against romney come late october, in the polls, would he hit iran for the uptick at the polls? Surely not, you would think. Benjamin Netanyahu has been roaming around the united states, telling all the television shows that the american people should elect a president who is willing to draw a line in the sand against iran.

How charming of him. Israel could probably attack and destroy iran by itself, but for netanyahu american support is vital. He and obama don't get along. Let us hope obama does not suddenly start drawing lines and issuing altimatums to iran just to show netahyahu he isn't a wimp. Surely he won't.

Still, stranger things have happened. With the american people tired of war, tired of afghanistan and iraq, any american president would want to be very wary about attacking iran,  even if iran refuses to quit making nukes. Doing so might make obama look like a tough strong leader; and it might horrify the american people with the reality of yet another war. 

Wary, but not necessarily entirely  unwilling....cross your fingers..

Bb

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